- The Rams are +450 to win Super Bowl LXI at Bovada, the shortest price on the 32-team board.
- Buffalo is the next-closest team at +1000, a 550-point gap that leaves the field bunched far behind.
- The Rams have shortened from +475 since mid-August while the 49ers, tonight’s opponent, have drifted from +1500 to +2000.
- Defending champion Seattle sits third at +1200, already 1-0 after beating New England in Wednesday’s opener.
LOS ANGELES – The Los Angeles Rams are the Super Bowl favorite at +450 on Bovada, at least 550 points shorter than every other team on the board, as Los Angeles opens its season Thursday night against the San Francisco 49ers in Melbourne, Australia.
A Field Bunched Far Behind
No other team on Bovada’s board is priced inside four figures. Buffalo is next at +1000, Seattle +1200, Baltimore +1400 and Kansas City +1500, a cluster so tight that seven teams, from the Bills down to Houston and the Chargers at +1800, are separated by fewer than four points of implied probability.
That 550-point gap between the Rams and the Bills means backing anyone else to win it all is a bet that one of seven bunched contenders separates from that pack, not just that a single chaser closes on Los Angeles.
The Top of Bovada’s Board
| Team | Odds | Implies |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | +450 | 18.2% |
| Buffalo Bills | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Seattle Seahawks | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1400 | 6.7% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +1500 | 6.2% |
| Denver Broncos | +1600 | 5.9% |
| Houston Texans | +1800 | 5.3% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +1800 | 5.3% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Dallas Cowboys | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Detroit Lions | +2000 | 4.8% |
| New England Patriots | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +2000 | 4.8% |
| San Francisco 49ers | +2000 | 4.8% |
The 49ers Have Fallen the Furthest
The board’s biggest mover since mid-August is sitting across from the Rams tonight. San Francisco has drifted from +1500 to +2000, tied for ninth with five other teams, while the Rams have only gotten shorter, moving from +475 to +450.
A team going from 15-1 to a 20-1 afterthought in three weeks means the book has already priced tonight’s game, and the season that follows it, as a mismatch before a snap is played in Melbourne. Anyone comparing online sportsbooks for USA players before placing a futures ticket is looking at a board that already prices this year’s title race as one team, then a long walk to the second tier.
Seattle Already Has a Head Start
The Seahawks do not need to wait on Thursday’s kickoff to make their case. Seattle is 1-0 after a 13-10 win over New England in Wednesday’s NFL Kickoff Game, yet the defending champion still sits third on the futures board at +1200, behind both the Rams and the Bills.
Seattle’s price is the same +1200 it carried in mid-August, a win already in the books included, the clearest sign yet that the board is pricing this season on personnel and depth, not one close opening win. The rest of the league’s Week 1 slate follows Sunday, Sept. 13, the first full test of the board at USA gambling sites.
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