Super Bowl Odds Week 1: Rams Stay Favorite at +575

  • The Rams remain the Super Bowl favorite at +575 despite a 27-7 loss to the 49ers, out from +450.
  • San Francisco’s price fell from +2000 to +1400 after the win, the board’s biggest move of the week.
  • Baltimore and Philadelphia shortened modestly after wins, while six other Sunday winners and losers saw no move at all.
  • Denver and Kansas City close out Week 1 Monday night, the board’s only game left to react to.

LOS ANGELES – The Los Angeles Rams are still Bovada’s favorite to win Super Bowl LXI at +575, even after the 49ers routed them 27-7 in Melbourne, a result that pushed their price out from +450 and pulled San Francisco in from +2000 to +1400.

Published On:

September 14th, 2026

Lorcan Palaca
Published: September 14th, 2026

A Lopsided Opener Reshapes The Board’s Top

San Francisco scored in all four quarters of Thursday’s Melbourne opener while the Rams managed points only in the second, and the 49ers closed it out 27-7. The result flipped the story both teams carried into the week: the Rams had entered as the runaway favorite at +450, 550 points clear of the field, while San Francisco had already drifted from +1500 to +2000 since mid-August.

By Sunday night, Bovada had the Rams out to +575 and San Francisco in to +1400 — a 125-point retreat for the presumptive favorite and, for the team that beat it, a 600-point advance that stands as the board’s biggest move of the week.

Super Bowl Odds Held Steady Everywhere Else

Beyond the Melbourne game, the rest of Sunday’s slate barely nudged the board at USA gambling sites. Baltimore’s 41-23 win over Indianapolis and Philadelphia’s 24-22 escape against Washington were each worth a modest trim, and every other Sunday result in the table left the number where it started the week.

Super Bowl LXI Odds Before and After Week 1
Team Before After Week 1 Result
Los Angeles Rams +450 +575 Lost 27-7 to San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers +2000 +1400 Beat Los Angeles 27-7
Baltimore Ravens +1400 +1300 Beat Indianapolis 41-23
Philadelphia Eagles +2000 +1800 Beat Washington 24-22
Buffalo Bills +1000 +1000 Beat Houston 36-31
Houston Texans +1800 +1800 Lost 36-31 to Buffalo
Cincinnati Bengals +2000 +2000 Beat Tampa Bay 33-27
Detroit Lions +2000 +2000 Beat New Orleans 31-30
Dallas Cowboys +2000 +2000 Lost 28-20 to N.Y. Giants
Los Angeles Chargers +1800 +1800 Lost 26-14 to Arizona

Odds via Bovada, before and after Week 1 and subject to movement. Payouts, not forecasts.

Buffalo, Cincinnati and Detroit all won without gaining a point on the board, and the losses by Houston, Dallas and the Chargers cost them nothing either. Only the Melbourne result redrew the board. The 49ers’ 20-point win moved the two teams that played it by a combined 725 points, while Baltimore’s and Philadelphia’s wins bought 100 and 200. Anyone pricing a ticket at online sportsbooks for USA players this week was really pricing one game, not the full weekend.

The Board’s Last Test Of The Week

Denver and Kansas City close out Week 1 Monday night at +1600 and +1500, prices that have not moved since before either team played a snap this season. Their game is the last chance for the board to react to an opening-week result before Week 2 begins.

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